Phoenix, AZ Jobs Report

January 2019 Jobs Report

Jobs Added

Metro +300
  • Month Over Month: 0.0%
  • 3 Month Average: 4,000
  • Year Over Year: +3.9%
State -2,300
  • Month Over Month: -0.1%
  • 3 Month Average: 4,633
  • Year Over Year: +3.4%
National +304,000
  • Month Over Month: +0.2%
  • 3 Month Average: 240,667
  • Year Over Year: +1.9%

Unemployment Rate

Metro 4.5%
  • Month Over Month: +0.6%
  • 3 Month Average: 4.1%
  • Year Over Year: +0.5%
State 4.8%
  • Month Over Month: +0.1%
  • 3 Month Average: 4.7%
  • Year Over Year: +0.1%
National 4.0%
  • Month Over Month: +0.1%
  • 3 Month Average: 3.87%
  • Year Over Year: -0.1%

The government shutdown put an $11 billion hole in the U.S. economy, a third of which will never be recovered. However, that does not appear to have affected the rate of hiring. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, total nonfarm payroll increased by 304,000 jobs in January. This smashed economists’ expectations of 165,000 jobs added. Job gains occurred in construction, leisure and hospitality, health care and transportation and warehousing.

One thing that the government shutdown does seem to have had an effect on is the unemployment rate, which edged up to 4 percent. Because federal workers will all receive back pay for the days the government was closed, they were counted as having been on government payrolls in January, even if they weren’t actually on the job. Most government contractors, however, won’t receive back pay. If they didn’t report into work, they counted towards the unemployment figure, along with other private-sector workers who were laid off (or weren’t hired) because of the shutdown.

The unemployment uptick, though expected, was somewhat disappointing. Another disappointing result of this jobs report is that December’s ultra-impressive report was revised down from 312,000 to 222,000 jobs. There was good news in wage growth, though, coming in at 3.2 percent over this time last year.

In fact, the overall health of the job market is well intact. Unemployment claims are at a near 50-year low. Wages and salaries rose 3.1 percent in the final three months of 2018, compared to a year earlier, which is the highest growth since the Great Recession ended in 2009. Even sectors which had previously struggled, like manufacturing and retail, added jobs in 2018.

“This jobs report is showing no evidence of an economy showing, certainly not falling into recession,” said Michelle Meyer, chief United States economist for Bank of America Merrill Lynch. “It’s still a tight labor market. Employers are still actively [hiring], and with wages ticking up, it looks like workers are getting some more bargaining power.”

Sector Job Growth from the B.L.S.

Professional & Business Services -3,200
  • Month Over Month: -0.9%
  • 3 Month Average: 371
  • Year Over Year: +4.8%
Transportation & Warehousing +1,000
  • Month Over Month: +1.3%
  • 3 Month Average: 74
  • Year Over Year: +6.0%
Education & Health Services +500
  • Month Over Month: +0.2%
  • 3 Month Average: 327
  • Year Over Year: +3.8%

Industry Job Growth from the B.L.S.

Administrative & Support & Waste Management & Remediation Services -2,100
  • Month Over Month: -1.0%
  • 3 Month Average: 215
  • Year Over Year: +6.0%
Transportation & Warehousing +1,000
  • Month Over Month: +1.3%
  • 3 Month Average: 74
  • Year Over Year: +6.0%
Health Care & Social Assistance +1,000
  • Month Over Month: +0.4%
  • 3 Month Average: 269
  • Year Over Year: +3.6%
Employment Services -1,100
  • Month Over Month: -1.2%
  • 3 Month Average: 93
  • Year Over Year: +0.4%
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Job Growth for All Sectors

BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov.

The BLS defines a sector as a subset of the domestic economy and excludes the economic activities of the following: general government, private households, and nonprofit organizations serving individuals. A sector consists of multiple industries.

The BLS defines an industry as a group of establishments that produce similar products or provide similar services. Multiple industries makeup sectors.

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